NBA Finals Game 6 – Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors Bet Builder Tips & Predictions

Andy

The Golden State Warriors broke the back-and-forth victory trend and now have a chance to win their fourth NBA Finals in the last eight seasons. Meanwhile the Boston Celtics have a chance to tie this series up with a victory tonight and send it back to Golden State for Game 7. The Celtics are four-point favorites as they will be playing with their backs against the wall at home.

Playing at home hasn’t been all that great for the Celtics as they are just 6-5 this postseason playing at the TD Garden. They split Game 3 and 4 at home against the Warriors in this series as both games were double digit victories. With the Warriors winning back-to-back games by 10 points, they are playing with house money as they have Game 7 at home in their back pocket. All three Warriors titles in the last seven seasons have been finished in six games or less.

The core stars of Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green have tied the Spurs trio of Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker for the most playoff victories ever. On the other hand, the young and talented Celtics have impressed the NBA world as they have a golden opportunity to add another title to their storied franchise. Expect another great Game 6 tonight.

Providing a little disclaimer here. This is a very difficult bet to land so be smart with your bank roll in this three-bet parlay. We have been super close the last three games, but haven’t quite hit one yet. Tonight is the night! This very well could be the last game of the NBA season, so it’s now or never. Feeling very confident with these three bets we have lined up. With a Game 6, Klay Thompson needs to be involved. He is paired with Marcus Smart and Andrew Wiggins.

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Marcus Smart Over 15.5 Points

The Defensive Player of the Year has been an X-factor on both sides of the ball during the NBA Finals. He is averaging 16.4 points per game in this series and that is including his Game 2 dud where he only had two points on six field goal attempts. Take that game out of the equation and Smart is averaging 20 points per game in the other four with at least 18 points in all four games.

Coming off a loss is when we get the best Marcus Smart. In six playoff games after a loss this postseason that he played in; Smart is averaging 21.8 points per game with at least 18 points in each game. Here are the post-loss lines: 18, 21, 24, 24, 24, and 20 points. He has been very aggressive and is certainly never afraid to shoot the ball when given the chance. Keeping up with the Warriors who lead the playoffs in points is a tall task, so the opportunities will be there.

Against the Warriors, Smart has a history of playing aggressive on offense and that isn’t even including this series. In the past five games before the NBA Finals, Smart averaged 18.2 points with 3.8 made 3-pointers per game. That puts him at 17.3 points per game over his past 10 games against the Warriors. Something about this matchup brings out the best Marcus Smart.

In the Eastern Conference Finals Game 7, Smart had the most field goal attempts of anyone on the Celtics with 22 as he poured in 24 points. In the Celtics Game 7 against the Bucks, Smart only had 11 points, but he also had 10 assists and seven rebounds as he dealt with foul trouble. If Smart can stay in the game, there is a great chance for him to reach this over. Discounting the Game 2 dud, Smart is averaging 15.3 field goal attempts and a 22.7% usage rate per game.

Prediction: Marcus Smart Over 15.5 Points


Andrew Wiggins Over 7.5 Rebounds

This Andrew Wiggins prop has jumped a full rebound on us from when we hit it in Game 4. Not only did Curry have an incredible last game, but so did Wiggins. He finished with a career-high 16 rebounds as he had well over his 5.5 rebound prop. Even though the line jumped, this prop still seems attainable with how aggressive Wiggins has been crashing the class in this series.

Starting Otto Porter over Kevon Looney in Game 4 threw a little curveball at us, but it actually benefited Wiggins. Draymond Green getting benched for playing so poorly helped as well. Outside of Curry and maybe Klay Thompson, Wiggins is one of the best players on the floor for the Warriors right now. He got a lot of flack for being an All-Star Starter this season, but he is definitely earning his stripes during this playoff run, especially his performances in this series.

This is a good rebounding matchup for Wiggins as the Celtics have allowed the sixth-most rebounds per game to opponents during the playoffs. During this series Wiggins not only leads the Warriors, but he also leads every other player in rebound chances with 13.3 per game. The line increased, but there is still value. Expect Wiggins to continue crashing the glass tonight.

In playoff games where he plays 35 or more minutes, Wiggins is averaging 8.6 rebounds per game. Being the primary defender on Celtics star Jayson Tatum has solidified his playing time in the NBA Finals as he is averaging 37.3 minutes per game. Wiggins has averaged over this prop line in every playoff series and he has reached seven or more rebounds in 10 of his past 20 games. If Porter starts for Looney again in Game 5, I love this rebound prop that much more.

Prediction: Andrew Wiggins Over 7.5 Rebounds


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Klay Thompson Over 3.5 3-Pointers

This last prop is a given whenever Klay Thompson is playing in a Game 6. The history is simply too strong to ignore. This is a prop where I contemplated his points, but ultimately the line feels better with Thompson over 3.5 3-pointers. He has hit this prop in three-straight games as he is shooting 70.8% of his field goal attempts from long distance. That’s a lot, even for Thompson.

Let’s dive into these Game 6 numbers. The last seven Game 6’s have been when Thompson has been very relevant. During those games, Thompson is averaging 28.1 points and 6.1 3-pointers made per game. He is shooting 53.1% from the field and 65.2% from behind the arc. Incredible numbers from the sharp shooter. After a poor shooting display early in this series, Thompson is certainly finding his groove at the perfect time for another electric Game 6 performance tonight.

Thompson did have one dud in those last seven games where he played 38 minutes and finished with nine points and only one 3-pointer. He has beaten this prop not only in his last three games of this series, but also in five of his last seven Game 6 games. He seems to thrive in closeout games and this is another opportunity to notch another one in his championship belt.

Playing time is a non-issue for Thompson even if he isn’t playing well. He will see around 40 minutes as long as this Game 6 stays competitive. Even if this game blows out either way, I still think Thompson can get over this prop line. Thompson has attempted double digit 3-pointers in three-straight games while averaging 40 minutes per game. Let’s see if Thompson can keep the great play rolling. It’s time to hit a three-bet player parlay. It is going to be a great night tonight!

Prediction: Klay Thompson Over 3.5 3-Pointers


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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing *


How to watch Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics in Game 6 of the NBA Finals

📅   When is Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors? / Friday, 17th June 2022, 02:00
🏟   Where is Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors? / TD Garden (Boston)
📺   What TV channel is Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors? / Sky Arena/Main Event