England Women v Germany Women Bet Builder Tips & Predictions


The Women’s Euros has helped propel interest in the women’s game further and it all culminates at Wembley in front of what will be a huge crowd. Germany and England have both only conceded one goal and have had very similar runs to the final. Germany are after a record 9th Women’s Euro title whereas England are hoping to win their first.

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England Under 5.5 Corners

One feature of this England team is their very low corner counts. England have averaged 4.8 corners per match this tournament but that includes the Northern Ireland game where they won 9. Their other matches in the tournament have seen them win 5, 2, 4 and 4 corners respectively. Against teams ranked in the top 10 in the world England’s numbers are even lower. They average just 3.0 corners per match against teams ranked in the top 10 in the world, not winning more than 4 corners in any of their last 5 matches against a team ranked in the top 10.

Germany have only conceded 3.8 corners per match on average this tournament and in their last 5 matches against teams in the top 10 in the world have conceded just 4.4 corners per match on average. Germany and England last met in February in the Arnold Clark Cup, a game that saw just 6 corners, 3 for each team. With not much changing between the two teams since then, a low corner count should be expected again.

Prediction: Under 5.5 England Corners

Over 1.5 Goals

England and Germany have impressed this tournament when attacking. England have scored 4 or more in 3 of their 5 matches and Germany have also recorded 3-0 and 4-0 wins already. Only England’s opening game of the tournament didn’t have over 1.5 goals and every Germany match so far has had over 1.5 goals. England matches at this tournament have had an average of 4.2 xG involved while Germany matches average 3.1 xG.

While big wins have heightened these averages, even against teams ranked in the top 10 of the FIFA World Rankings England have averaged 3.2 goals per match this year while Germany have averaged 2.4 goals per match. In these matches, only 1 England game and 1 Germany game didn’t have over 1.5 goals. Both teams are committed to an attacking style of football and will want to win the championships by outplaying the opposition.

When the teams played in February, England won 3-1 against a Covid-hit Germany squad and 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches have seen at least 3 goals. When England have been dominant, they have won big this tournament and if they go behind Wiegman has made tactical changes that see them get back into the game. However this match pans out it, would be a shock to see under 1.5 goals.

Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals

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Lena Oberdorf to be Carded

No team has received more yellow cards this tournament than Germany. With 8 yellow cards so far, Germany have averaged 1.6 yellow cards per match but have been carded in every match except their thrashing of Finland where the ref probably thought there was little need for any cards. Lena Oberdorf is nothing short of a yellow card machine. She has played 4 matches at the tournament so far, been carded in 3 of them and no player has committed more fouls than her at this tournament. Despite missing the Finland match she has committed 23% of German fouls this tournament! Only one team has suffered more fouls than England and their ability to run with the ball will lead to more German fouls. Oberdorf plays in a midfield pairing so plays mainly in the middle but will also shuffle wide to cover wingers when necessary. Oberdorf will face Georgia Stanway in central midfield, Stanway has been fouled 10 times this tournament, the second highest out of anyone and when Oberdorf shuffles over to cover England’s left winger she will be facing Lauren Hemp. Only 1 player has more chance ending carries than Hemp this tournament and Germany will be keen to stop her getting opportunities to run with the ball whenever possible.

The referee for the match is Kateryna Monzul. Monzul averaged 4.2 cards per match in the 10 matches she refereed last season and has given exactly two cards in each of the 3 matches she has refereed this tournament. With the added tension of the final, teams will not be afraid to commit tactical fouls and the referee will want to keep control of this match. Oberdorf commits fouls, gets yellow cards and is up against 2 of England’s most fouled players so is in a position to make it 4 yellow cards in 5 matches this tournament.

Prediction: Lena Oberdorf to be carded

Alexandra Popp to have 1+ Shots on Target

The final will decide which team will lift the trophy but is also the final chance for Alexandra Popp and Beth Mead, who both have 6 goals, to score and be the sole winner of the golden boot. Alexandra Popp has shown her quality this tournament and her ability to attack crosses may be the difference against England. Popp has scored 4 of her goals with her head, 5 of her goals from crosses and has scored all her goals from within just a few yards of the penalty spot. Popp scored 2 in the semi-final against France, they were both from crosses against a team with 6’2 Wendie Renard in defence. Popp is also one of Germany’s free-kick takers giving her further shooting opportunities. As mentioned, Popp and Germany are very strong from crosses, all 5 of Germany’s key passes against France were crosses and the German wingers will be up against Rachel Daly on the right. The English full-back was subbed off against Spain as she was being beaten on the wing so often and made the mistake that lead to Spain’s goal.

England’s only real weakness defensively has seemed to be defending crosses, Spain had 4 key passes against England that were balls from wide that were met in the centre of the box, the same area Popp has scored all 6 of her goals from and Spain’s goal came from a cut back to their striker in the centre. Popp’s strengths perfectly align with England’s weaknesses and as only one player has had more shots on target than her this tournament, she will have chances to hit even more this match.

Prediction: Alexandra Popp to have 1+ Shots on Target

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets *

England Women v Germany Women Predicted Line-ups

England Women predicted XI (4-2-3-1) : Earps; Bronze, Bright, Williamson, Daly; Stanway, Walsh; Mead, Kirby, Hemp; White

Germany Women predicted XI (4-3-3)Frohms; Gwinn, Hendrich, Hegering, Rauch; Magull, Oberdorf, Dabritz; Huth, Buhl, Popp

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing *

How to watch England Women v Germany Women in the UEFA Women EURO 2022?

📅   When is England Women v Germany Women? / Sunday, 31st July 2022, 17:00
🏟   Where is England Women v Germany Women? / Wembley Stadium (London)
📺   What TV channel is England Women v Germany Women? / BBC One
🟨   …And who is the referee for England Women v Germany Women? / Kateryna Monzul 🇺🇦