England Women v Sweden Women Bet Builder Tips & Predictions

Andy

After England’s heroic comeback against Spain in the quarter-final, they face a Swedish team that topped their group in the semi-final. England will most likely keep the same lineup for this match whereas Sweden have not kept the same line up in any of their matches so far. England know they are just one match away from reaching their first Women’s Euros final since the inaugural edition of the competition and will certainly fancy their chances in this match.


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England Under 5.5 Corners

England have averaged 5 corners per match so far this tournament, however, this has included matches against much weaker teams in the group stage whereas Sweden are ranked 2nd in FIFA’s world rankings. If you look at England’s last 5 matches against the top 10 FIFA-ranked opposition they have averaged just 3.4 corners per match, only winning over 5 corners once, when they got 6 against Canada back in February.

England didn’t win a single corner in the first half of the quarter-final against Spain and only won more in the second half due to their desperate attempts to push forward for an equaliser. Sweden are not a team to sit deep, no team has more high recoveries of possession than them so far this tournament. Sweden are not the sort of team to sit in a narrow defensive formation and will instead look to win the ball high up the pitch, far away from areas where corners could be won.

As a result of this playing style, Sweden are yet to concede more than 3 corners in a match this tournament and with an England team that struggles to hit high corner numbers against top teams, they will expect to concede under 5.5 corners in this game.

Prediction: Under 5.5 England Corners


Under 2.5 Cards

In a tournament that has only seen an average of 2.11 cards per match, England and Sweden are right at the bottom of the yellow card standings. Between them they have received 0.375 cards per match and I would expect that pattern to continue in this match. England actually received their first yellow card of the whole tournament in their last match against Spain and even that was in the 119th minute for time-wasting at a free-kick. No team has received less cards than England so far this tournament and no other team had to wait as long in the tournament for their first card as England.

Sweden are also low on the cards tally, only registering 2 yellow cards so far and they both came early on in the first half of their matchday 2 game against Portugal. The referee for the match is Esther Staubli who has a mixed record with cards, giving out 6 cards in the Germany vs Denmark game on matchday 1 but her last match as a referee was England’s thrashing of Northern Ireland in which no cards were awarded despite 11 fouls taking place in the match. Although the occasion and tension of a semi-final would often lead to more cards, I wouldn’t expect that to happen in this match and the card count will most likely be low.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Cards


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Fridolina Rolfo to have 1+ Shots On Target

England press high but will sit deeper if the original press is broken, playing narrow but often giving players more time when 25 yards away from goal. Sweden know they are not favourites for the match so will not be afraid to take long shots if the opportunity arises, hoping that one of them may find the back of the net. Fridolina Rolfo is one of Sweden’s main attacking threats and has averaged 3.18 shots per 90 and 1.06 shots on target per 90 so far this tournament.

Lucy Bronze is an attacking threat for England from right back but this can leave her exposed defensively. Rolfo will be able to exploit this space if it is left for her, however, if Bronze does sit deeper Rolfo will come further infield, finding opportunities to shoot from distance. Sweden’s shot map shows they are weighted more towards Rolfo’s side of the pitch and the Barcelona winger, who had more shots than any other player in the Spanish Primeira Division this season, will have opportunities to hit the target again.

Prediction:Fridolina Rolfo to have 1+ Shots On Target


Lauren Hemp to have 1+ Shots on Target

Lauren Hemp has continued to make a name for herself this tournament. The winger is a favourite of England manager Sarina Wiegman and has only missed 53 minutes of the tournament so far. Hemp is used by Wiegman on the right and left wing having switched her during the game in every match so far. Sweden press very high but that can be their undoing when defending against a player that has Hemp’s dribbling ability. She was in the top 1% of players in the WSL for progressive carries and top 8% for successful dribbles last season. Due to Sweden’s desire to always press, when defenders are caught out of position and can over commit, meaning Hemp will be able to beat her marker and create space for a shooting opportunity. If on the left Hemp will play against one of the Swedish right backs who love to push forward and will leave space for her to attack in behind. Hemp has averaged 2.67 shots per match this tournament and 1.07 shots on target per match and should register another shot on target in this match.

Prediction: Lauren Hemp to have 1+ Shots on Target


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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets *


England Women v Sweden Women Predicted Line-ups

England Women predicted XI (4-2-3-1) : Earps; Bronze, Bright, Williamson, Daly; Stanway, Walsh; Mead, Kirby, Hemp; White

Sweden Women predicted XI (4-3-3)Lindahl; Glas, Ilestedt, Eriksson, Andersson; Angeldal, Asllani, Bjorn; Rytting Kaneryd, Rolfo, Blackstenius


* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing *


How to watch England Women v Sweden Women in the UEFA Women EURO 2022?

📅   When is England Women v Sweden Women? / Tuesday, 26th July 2022, 20:00
🏟   Where is England Women v Sweden Women? / Bramall Lane (Sheffield)
📺   What TV channel is England Women v Sweden Women? / BBC One
🟨   …And who is the referee for England Women v Sweden Women? / Esther Staubli 🇨🇭