Kuressaare v Kalju
Despite Kure sitting in the dizzy heights of 5th place of the Meistriliiga, and winning 4 out of their last 6 games, they haven’t been entirely convincing. Fortunate 1-0 wins against Narva, Legion and Kalev, who can be classed as relegation candidates, haven’t exactly caught the eye. Performances have been sloppy with certain players looking uninterested.
Kuressaare come into this game following a heavy 4-0 defeat to Flora Tallinn, with all 4 goals coming in the opening 25 minutes. Kure never looked likely to trouble the league leaders and were quite fortunate that Flora decided to take the foot off the gas, or it could have been a lot worse.
Kalju have just played out the Estonian Cup final, losing the tie 1-0 after 120 minutes. Their recent league form has been impressive, despite the most recent 1-0 defeat to reigning champions Levadia, that game could have been better for Kalju if it wasn’t for some dodgy refereeing, which seems to be like the new norm in Estonia this season. Kalju are normally dominant when facing Kure, winning the last 4 by more than 1 goal and not conceding a single goal in those matches. It might be worth noting that Kalju may rotate the squad, following the 120 minutes played in the cup final and a 2-day rest before this tie, and will also be missing Igor Subbotin through suspension who picked up his 4th yellow card of the season. Having said that, Kalju will still have too much for Kure.
Legion v Levadia
Legion are actually in some impressive form of late with 7 points from a possible 15 in their last 5 games, picking up some points against other relegation threatened teams. Despite that, Legion moved down instead of up in the table and are now the bottom placed team.
Levadia themselves have won each of their last 5 games, 4 of which have finished just 1-0 despite heavily dominating all these games. If finishing was better, then the 1-0’s could have very easily been 3 or 4. Levadia need to start finishing off the teams down the bottom – having the same goal difference as title challengers Flora, every goal counts.
Games between these two usually involve goals. 6 out of the 8 games has O2.5 goals, and 5 out of 8 has achieved BTTS – this season things are different. Legion find themselves in apparent financial trouble and are relying heavily on youth players this season – using 22 players so far, only recently have Legion found a starting 11 they are comfortable with, but with star midfielder Pavel Domov suspended – Legion’s attacking threat has been almost eliminated through his suspension.
Levadia have the best defence in the league with just 4 goals conceded and 11 clean sheets in 14 games. The 4 1-0 wins in the last 5 games should be taken with a pinch of salt as this is a game in which Levadia will make chances count – with head coach Marko Savic demanding a more ruthless attack.
The bet for this one is Levadia -1, it’s hard to see Legion scoring and Levadia’s attacking firepower will have too much for Legion and their youthful defence.
Paide v Tammeka
A battle of two inconsistent teams, albeit at different ends of the table. Paide currently sit 4th in the table, having lost 5 games already this season, they only lost 6 games last year. Tammeka at the other end of the table, started the season relatively well and have been on a downward spiral lately and can count themselves lucky that the teams beneath them are worse than they are.
Paide will be in celebratory mood having just won the Estonian Cup, beating Kalju 1-0 after 120 minutes, their first ever cup in the clubs history. Paide heavily rotated their squad when they played Narva during the week before cup final, beating them comfortably 4-2. Paide will probably rotate a few players here again against Tammeka, but as they have one of the best U21 squads in the country, it won’t be a problem, with players like Singhateh, Tambedou and Simon undoubtedly ready to step up if needed.
Tammeka come into this one in horrible form, losing 4 out of the last 5 games. Including most recently a 3-1 defeat to Tallinna Kalev. A game which lacked any real quality in the 1st half and was a contender for the worst match of the season award and then saw Kalev spring into action. Tammeka will be without Pechter, Addy, Uljanov and Kapper, all key players capbale of creating chances. Players like Puri and Valja are more than capable at this level, but the 4 missing players won’t help at all.
Paide normally come out on top when these 2 face off with 4 out of the last 5 matches resulting in a Paide win. Even if Paide do rotate their squad, the highly talented 2nd string will be too much for Tammeka. The injuries in the Tammeka camp won’t help matters. Although they will be hoping Kevin Matas can find his scoring boots, with only two goals to his name this season.
Tallinna Kalev v Parnu
Both sides would be delighted if the season ended right now, sitting in 8th & 9th respectively and only goal difference separating the two. Both teams are going to fancy themselves to get 3 points and they pull away from that automatic relegation place.
Kalev might just feel more confident than Parnu after just beating Tammeka comfortably 3-1 last week. Parnu will feel disappointed after last week’s display vs Legion being 2nd best for the most part in a game that finished 1-1.
Parnu will be missing some very important players due to suspension – Sander Sinilaid and Anton Krutogolov, two of Parnu’s most attacking midfield players will be unavailable.
Kalev on the other hand are almost at full strength with just Marek Kaljumae missing through suspension.
Both sides love to ship goals with a crazy 82 goals conceded between the two of them with the only previous fixture between them finishing 3-1 to Parnu, this fixture could go either way. Despite not even being halfway through the season; this game is a relegation 6 pointer, the winner of this one will feel comfortable heading into the 2nd half of the season.
The bet for this one is BTTS, Parnu are missing some important players, but this is a game they will not be sitting back on. The same can be said for Kalev they are looking to go for back-to-back wins for the first time this season.
Narva v Flora
Things are not looking good in Narva right now; they currently have the worst form in the league with 7 defeats in a row so coming up against the most in-form team in Flora it’s easy to think that Narva could be in for a big defeat.
Narva went 5 games without scoring a goal, only recently breaking that streak in a game vs a heavily rotated Paide side but still took a very deserved loss.
Flora are unbeaten in the league in 13 games and have kept 8 clean sheets so far, last game out vs Kuressaare, Flora made easy work of it leading 4-0 and taking the foot off the gas for the 2nd half in a very comfortable win.
This game leads to only one outcome – a Flora win. Narva are so depleted in defence and offer nothing in attack, whilst Flora are in the form of their life and show no signs of stopping.
The last time these two played Flora won 1-0, which was 8 games ago. Since then, Flora have found their rhythm and disposed of teams easily, and Narva are on a downhill slide. The bet for this one is Flora -1, they have achieved this 8 times already this season and against the worst form team in the league they are going to fancy this one.
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